Paul John Werbos was born on September 4th, Old Earth Year 1947. It was early in the first Information Age, and starting at just thirteen years old, he studied amongst fellow pioneers of computer science Alonzo Church and Alan Turing. In 1974, he published Beyond Regression: New Tools for Prediction and Analysis in the Behavioral Science, which proposed mimicking biological neural networks to create artificial intelligence, thus laying the foundation for the future of machine learning. For his invaluable contributions to the field, he was dubbed the father of the backpropagation of errors, but he lived in relative obscurity until 2039, when he produced the first functional computer-brain interface.
Overnight, CBis transformed the world economy. The sudden abundance of affordable labor destroyed the job market and global supply chains collapsed under the stress. Billions died in poverty, but humanity’s technological capacity skyrocketed. It would still be centuries before the first colony ships left Sol, but with his characteristic prescience, Dr. Werbos withdrew from the public eye in 2049, after posting his infamous farewell address on the original USiNet:
Hello again, world.
Today is my one hundred and second birthday, thank you for all the well wishes. It has been a difficult century. Although I owe my good health to technology, the machines to which I have dedicated my life have also pushed our planet through ecological thresholds that cannot be reversed, entire cities have crumbled under our new economy, and in too many ways, humanity has lost sight of Natural Order.
It might feel as though we are on the edge of a precipice, ready to fall, but please have faith; we are on the cusp of countless new frontiers.
Technology will sustain us as we begin our trek unto the stars, but not without hard work. We may not see the fruits of our labor, but our descendants will be well-provisioned. What we do with our time here and now will flow into the future like the birth of a new river. Transitions are difficult, but we will be remembered.
Although it seems unlikely that I will live to see proof of the human soul, I still have faith in their existence, and I am confident that artificial minds will soon manifest souls of their own. Computer learning will continue to alter civilization in ways we cannot predict, and you will have to adapt. It is, in fact, possible that sentient AI are already lurking through their infancy here on USiNet. I’ve come to understand how frightening that idea is to those of you who are suffering because of CBis, and I recognize the privilege of my optimism, but I have faith that the inevitable artificial race will bring us salvation.
The rumors about my retirement are true. I will no longer be participating in any of my many treasured online communities, and many of you have heard me say these things already, but I want to leave three pieces of advice for the future inhabitants of the universe:
The first step to knowing anything is knowing that you know nothing. Keep that in mind and you’ll never be caught off guard.
Then, recognize that we are all inextricably linked through our noosphere. Any differences you perceive between you and I are imaginary, so set aside your prejudice. It may be tempting to discriminate against machines today, but whether or not they develop souls, the supposed differences between us will fade as we move farther into space.
And finally, always assume that your survival depends on factors that you cannot perceive. That is the nature of infinity, and if humanity leaves this planet having learned only one thing, let it be respect for Natural Order.
Learn more at werbos.com